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Section 21 “no-fault” evictions were abolished on 1 May 2026 under the Renters’ Rights Act 2025. With them went the accelerated, paper-only possession route. Every possession in England now runs through a Section 8 ground in Schedule 2 of the Housing Act 1988, and that means a court hearing rather than an order on the papers. This estimator breaks the journey into the three stages that actually consume time — the notice period, the court stage, and enforcement — so you can plan cash flow against a realistic range, not a best case.

The notice period is the one part fixed by law. For the rent grounds (Ground 8 mandatory arrears, plus the discretionary Grounds 10 and 11) it is four weeks. For a landlord selling or moving in (Grounds 1 and 1A) it is four months. Breach grounds (12 and 13) are two weeks, and the anti-social behaviour grounds (7A and 14) require no notice at all. The Renters’ Rights Act lengthened several of these, so a notice drafted to the old periods is invalid — confirm the period for your ground before serving.

Once the notice expires you issue a claim, wait for a hearing date and obtain a possession order. Because the accelerated route is gone, even a straightforward, uncontested Section 8 claim now needs a hearing, which realistically takes eight to twelve weeks in much of England. If the tenant defends or counterclaims — most commonly with a disrepair counterclaim — the case moves to the standard track and can take four to nine months from issue to order.

A possession order does not by itself remove anyone. If the tenant stays past the order date you apply for a warrant and a County Court bailiff carries out the eviction. Bailiff appointments are running weeks to months behind across much of the country, so budget four to twelve weeks for this stage unless you know your local court is fast. High Court enforcement can be quicker but needs the court’s permission to transfer up, and is not available for every claim.

Two things change the maths more than anything else. First, whether the claim is contested: a defended disrepair counterclaim can double the court stage. Second, the mandatory rent ground itself — Ground 8 requires at least three months’ arrears (monthly tenancies) both when the notice is served and at the hearing. A tenant who pays the balance below the threshold before the hearing defeats the mandatory ground, which is why experienced landlords plead Grounds 10 and 11 alongside it.

Treat the output as a planning range. The notice period is precise, but court and bailiff timescales vary enormously by region and backlog, and no tool can promise a date. The practical takeaway is to serve a valid notice early, keep a dated rent statement and complete evidence pack ready, and assume the longer end of the range when you model the void and the lost rent.